NIGERIA'S CURRENCY DEAL SWAP WITH CHINA STALLS
Two years after the administration of President
Muhammadu Buhari had advanced talks with China for a currency swap deal, the
scheme has failed to take off.
According to the guardian reports, after a meeting
with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing two years ago, the Industrial and
Commercial Bank of China Ltd (ICBC), the world’s biggest lender, and Nigeria’s
Central Bank signed a deal on yuan transactions. But the plan was trailed by a
mix of optimism, pessimism and caution from stakeholders and experts, citing
previous experiences of similar efforts.
For analysts at Afrinvest, the strong participation
of private investors in the FDI and loan agreements sealed, sequel to the move,
would improve the implementation rate relative to past bi-lateral investment
engagements and could potentially boost capital importation from China and
domestic infrastructure investment.
While awaiting official clarifications, we think the
‘currency deal’ could either be a conventional swap, in which the CBN and China
would exchange a stock of their currencies at a predetermined exchange rate to
be reversed at maturity of the swap line or a move by China to boost
yuan-liquidity in Nigerian banks as a trade and investment currency in exchange
for future assets transfer (probably oil) to China to liquidate the swap line,”
the analysts said.
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